Nine of the last 11 of AZ’s Eredivisie games have produced three or more goals and this game looks set to follow that pattern as Telstar’s net has been found eight times in their last three league matches.
Under 2.5 goals has landed in seven of Villa’s first nine matches, while they’ve struggled in games where they have to force the issue. The Villains have recorded 0.82 Expected Goals when dominating possession, failing to score on three occasions. A solid Burnley side will look to stay compact and frustrate them, so under 2.5 goals appeals.
Newcastle can exploit a shaky Forest defence, after thumping USG 4-0 in midweek. The Magpies look well placed to dismantle a Forest side who are yet to keep a clean sheet under Postecoglou, with the visitors shipping three goals in an embarrassing home defeat on Thursday night.
Over 3.5 goals looks the best play when Sevilla host Barcelona on Sunday. The leaders have scored 21 goals in seven league games and netted three or more in six of their last eight. Sevilla, meanwhile, have conceded at least twice in every home game this season, while also scoring in 12 of their last 14 league outings.
Eight of the last nine Serie A meetings between Napoli and Genoa have featured over 2.5 goals, and Napoli’s last three league games have also gone over. Genoa’s defensive frailty, with nine games without a clean sheet in their last ten, strengthens the case for another high-scoring clash.
Recently relegated Lyngby have made a good start in their quest for an instant return to the top flight, but they have drawn two of their last three away games and face a Hvidore side unbeaten in six home games this term. Both teams have scored in their last four at home, with over 2.5 goals landing in three of those, while Lyngby’s last four away games have all featured goals at both ends.